26 February 2012

2003 Recovery Rates

Posted in Durations & Recoveries

From Standard & Poor Data

The U.S. ultimate recovery rates for corporate bonds and bank loans in 2003 showed no improvement from the heavy default cycle of 1998-2002. The ultimate recovery rate averages are reflected in tables 1 and 2.

Table 1 1998-2002 Ultimate Recovery Rate Averages
Instrument TypeDiscounted Ultimate RecoveryStandard DeviationObservations
Source: Standard & Poor’s LossStats Database.
Bank debt 74.1% 32.4% 331
Senior secured bonds 45.8% 36.5% 42
Senior unsecured bonds 36.8% 35.1% 198
Senior subordinated bonds 21.3% 30.8% 116
Subordinated Bonds 15.0% 24.7% 55
Junior Subordinated Bonds 2.5% 4.1% 4

Table 2 2003 Ultimate Recovery Rate Averages
Instrument TypeDiscounted Ultimate RecoveryStandard DeviationObservations

Source: Standard & Poor’s LossStats Database.

The largest debt categories included in table 2 reflect changes in the marketplace. The issuance of senior secured bonds has virtually ceased over the past few years while bank loans have become more liquid and available. The quality of instruments received in settlement remains a key influence on recovery rates, and the 2003 rates reflect a continued consequence of the weaker structural quality trend of recent years.

Bank debt 72.3% 32.5% 136
Senior unsecured bonds 28.7% 27.7% 102
Senior subordinated bonds 20.5% 34.4% 50